Palmeiras have not started the season as well as they would have hoped, but they have won their last two games. Additionally, the sheer number of absentees for Atletico could see them struggle against the reigning Brasileiro champions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Palmeiras had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Palmeiras win was 0-1 (10.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Palmeiras
39.48% ( -2.74)	27.99% ( 0.39)	32.53% ( 2.36)

Both teams to score 47.42% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.47% (

-0.79)

58.53% (

0.79)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.9% (

-0.61)

79.1% (

0.62)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.1% (

-1.9)

28.9% (

1.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.22% (

-2.42)

64.78% (

2.42)

Palmeiras Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.69% (

1.29)

33.31% (

-1.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.08% (

1.4)

69.92% (

-1.39)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 39.47%

Palmeiras 32.53%

Draw 27.98%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Palmeiras
1-0 @ 11.94% ( -0.29) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.34) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.59) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( -0.34) 3-0 @ 3.07% ( -0.43) 3-2 @ 1.85% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 1.05% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.19) Other @ 1.67% Total : 39.47%	1-1 @ 13.13% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.98%	0-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.66) 1-2 @ 7.22% ( 0.33) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.56) 1-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.27) 2-3 @ 1.64% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.53%