Over the past few weeks, Mineiro have found a level of consistency, and we believe that momentum will carry them beyond this phase of the tournament against a Sao Paulo side struggling to score in recent games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Sao Paulo had a probability of 28.3% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.58%) and 2-1 (8.42%). The likeliest Sao Paulo win was 0-1 (10.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Sao Paulo
43.54% ( 0.48)	28.16% ( 0.36)	28.3% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 45.27% (

-1.41)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.58% (

-1.57)

60.42% (

1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.44% (

-1.2)

80.55% (

1.2)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.43% (

-0.48)

27.56% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.91% (

-0.62)

63.08% (

0.62)

Sao Paulo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.49% (

-1.53)

37.51% (

1.52)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.71% (

-1.53)

74.29% (

1.52)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 43.53%

Sao Paulo 28.29%

Draw 28.15%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Sao Paulo
1-0 @ 13.32% ( 0.59) 2-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.27) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0.12) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.78% Total : 43.53%	1-1 @ 13.06% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.58) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.22) Other @ 0.63% Total : 28.15%	0-1 @ 10.13% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.41% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.13) Other @ 1.72% Total : 28.29%