Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Botafogo |
44.57% ( -0.12) | 27.07% ( -0.01) | 28.37% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 48.32% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.45% ( 0.09) | 56.55% ( -0.08) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.46% ( 0.07) | 77.54% ( -0.07) |
Athletico Paranaense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.75% ( -0.02) | 25.25% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40% ( -0.03) | 60% ( 0.03) |
Botafogo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.65% ( 0.15) | 35.35% ( -0.15) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.89% ( 0.16) | 72.11% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Botafogo |
1-0 @ 12.28% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.03% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 44.56% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.83% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 28.37% |
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