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Brasileiro | Gameweek 29
Oct 5, 2024 at 8.30pm UK
Arena de Baixada
BL

Athletico PR
0 - 1
Botafogo


Madson (74'), Rocha (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Jesus (13')
Gregore (42'), da Silva (84'), Tiquinho (89'), Martins (90+2')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Athletico Paranaense and Botafogo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Botafogo 0-0 Gremio
Sunday, September 29 at 1am in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBotafogo
44.57% (-0.121 -0.12) 27.07% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 28.37% (0.132 0.13)
Both teams to score 48.32% (0.097000000000001 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.45% (0.086000000000006 0.09)56.55% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.46% (0.07 0.07)77.54% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.75% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)25.25% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)60% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Botafogo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.65% (0.14999999999999 0.15)35.35% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.89% (0.155 0.16)72.11% (-0.15300000000001 -0.15)
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 44.56%
    Botafogo 28.37%
    Draw 27.06%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawBotafogo
1-0 @ 12.28% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 8.46% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.88% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 44.56%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.57% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 27.06%
0-1 @ 9.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.64% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.83% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.3% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.67% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.58% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 28.37%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Flamengo 1-0 Athletico PR
Monday, September 30 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Racing 4-1 Athletico PR
Friday, September 27 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Criciuma 0-0 Athletico PR
Monday, September 23 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Racing
Friday, September 20 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-1 Fortaleza
Saturday, September 14 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Vasco (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, September 12 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Botafogo 0-0 Gremio
Sunday, September 29 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-1 Botafogo (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, September 26 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fluminense 0-1 Botafogo
Saturday, September 21 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 0-0 Sao Paulo
Thursday, September 19 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 2-1 Corinthians
Sunday, September 15 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Botafogo 2-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, September 1 at 1am in Brasileiro


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