Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 44.57%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 28.37% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
-0.12) 
0.13) 
