SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 45.47%. A win for Philadelphia Union had a probability of 29.57% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Philadelphia Union win was 0-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Austin FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
45.47% ( -1.41) | 24.96% ( 0.64) | 29.57% ( 0.78) |
| Both teams to score 55.55% ( -1.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.48% ( -2.38) | 47.52% ( 2.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.28% ( -2.24) | 69.72% ( 2.25) |
| Austin FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.06% ( -1.57) | 20.94% ( 1.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.32% ( -2.51) | 53.68% ( 2.52) |
| Philadelphia Union Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.26% ( -0.66) | 29.74% ( 0.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.19% ( -0.81) | 65.81% ( 0.82) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austin FC | Draw | Philadelphia Union |
| 1-0 @ 9.74% ( 0.49) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.81% ( -0.32)3-0 @ 3.97% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 1.88% ( -0.22)4-0 @ 1.55% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.14% ( -0.16)Other @ 2.62% Total : 45.47% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0.39) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.6)2-2 @ 5.6% ( -0.19)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.55% ( 0.6) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.11)0-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.12)0-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.27% Total : 29.57% |
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