Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a The New Saints win with a probability of 61.22%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Barry Town United had a probability of 19.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a The New Saints win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.99%) and 1-3 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Barry Town United win it was 2-1 (5.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that The New Saints would win this match.
Result | ||
Barry Town United | Draw | The New Saints |
19.27% ( 0.02) | 19.5% ( 0.02) | 61.22% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 62.73% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.32% ( -0.06) | 32.67% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.65% ( -0.07) | 54.35% ( 0.06) |
Barry Town United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.01% ( -0.02) | 29.98% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.89% ( -0.02) | 66.1% ( 0.01) |
The New Saints Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.6% ( -0.03) | 10.39% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
66.07% ( -0.06) | 33.93% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Barry Town United | Draw | The New Saints |
2-1 @ 5.12% ( 0) 1-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.06% ( 0) 3-0 @ 0.91% ( 0) Other @ 2.85% Total : 19.27% | 1-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.79% 0-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 0.33% Total : 19.5% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.99% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 7.26% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 6.03% ( -0) 2-3 @ 4.37% ( -0) 1-4 @ 4.11% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 3.41% ( -0) 2-4 @ 2.47% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 1.55% ( -0) 2-5 @ 1.12% ( -0) 3-4 @ 0.99% ( -0) Other @ 3.39% Total : 61.22% |
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