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DFB-Pokal | Round of 16
Dec 3, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Allianz Arena
LL

Bayern
0 - 1
B. Leverkusen


Upamecano (13'), Goretzka (52')
Neuer (17')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Tella (69')
Tapsoba (13'), Wirtz (22'), Kovar (78')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, November 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-1 Bayer Leverkusen

Although they were forced to settle for a draw when the sides met in September, it seems that Bayern Munich are bound to knock Leverkusen off their perch this season. Xabi Alonso's team are not quite the force they were this time last year, while their hosts have been brilliant both in defence and attack. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 56.85%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 21.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.35%), while for a Bayer Leverkusen win it was 1-2 (5.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
56.85% (-0.1 -0.1) 22.11% (-0.186 -0.19) 21.04% (0.286 0.29)
Both teams to score 56.27% (1.068 1.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.53% (1.208 1.21)42.47% (-1.21 -1.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.13% (1.195 1.2)64.87% (-1.195 -1.19)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.26% (0.376 0.38)14.74% (-0.377 -0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.04% (0.718 0.72)42.96% (-0.719 -0.72)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66% (0.968 0.97)34% (-0.96700000000001 -0.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.32% (1.029 1.03)70.68% (-1.03 -1.03)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 56.85%
    Bayer Leverkusen 21.04%
    Draw 22.11%
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.6% (-0.393 -0.39)
2-0 @ 9.19% (-0.249 -0.25)
3-1 @ 6.33% (0.082 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.86% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.131 0.13)
4-1 @ 3.03% (0.078 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.81% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.084 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.16% (0.045 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 56.85%
1-1 @ 10.35% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.35% (0.137 0.14)
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.275 -0.27)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.078 0.08)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.11%
1-2 @ 5.58% (0.07 0.07)
0-1 @ 5.41% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.077 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.92% (0.098 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.05% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 21.04%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dortmund 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, November 30 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 PSG
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Augsburg
Friday, November 22 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Bayern
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 Benfica
Wednesday, November 6 at 8.15pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 30 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-0 Salzburg
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 5-2 Heidenheim
Saturday, November 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, November 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Liverpool 4-0 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-0 Stuttgart
Friday, November 1 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga


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