Finally, the Dall'Ara faithful will be treated to a home victory, as Bologna must surely put away a Lecce side lacking punch and prone to conceding plenty of goals. That combination means that the Salentini are facing a long season of struggle, even if they do have some talented individuals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.63%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (6.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bologna in this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Lecce
61.63% ( -0.33)	22.94% ( 0.39)	15.43% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 43.54% (

-1.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.8% (

-1.56)

54.2% (

1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.39% (

-1.32)

75.6% (

1.32)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.81% (

-0.67)

17.19% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.54% (

-1.18)

47.45% (

1.18)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.58% (

-1.04)

47.42% (

1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.2% (

-0.78)

82.8% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Bologna 61.63%

Lecce 15.43%

Draw 22.93%

Bologna	Draw	Lecce
1-0 @ 14.35% ( 0.56) 2-0 @ 12.63% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 3.27% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.14) 5-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.44% Total : 61.63%	1-1 @ 10.7% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.49) 2-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.56% Total : 22.93%	0-1 @ 6.08% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 4% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.09% Total : 15.43%