SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 46.25%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.73%) and 2-3 (4.99%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 (6.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
32.83% ( -1.09) | 20.93% ( 0.07) | 46.25% ( 1.03) |
| Both teams to score 72.25% ( -0.74) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.57% ( -0.77) | 26.43% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.24% ( -1) | 46.76% ( 1) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.5% ( -0.87) | 17.49% ( 0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52% ( -1.54) | 48% ( 1.54) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.57% ( 0.03) | 12.42% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.66% ( 0.05) | 38.34% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 4.17% ( -0.15)3-1 @ 4% ( -0.15)1-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.08)2-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.12)4-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.93% Total : 32.83% | 1-1 @ 7.9% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 7.18% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.77% Total : 20.93% | 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.18) 1-3 @ 5.73% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 4.99% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.73% ( 0.24)0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.22)0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.17)1-4 @ 2.99% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.09)3-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.05)1-5 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 46.25% |
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