SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 72.84%. A draw had a probability of 15.4% and a win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 11.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.75%), while for a VfL Bochum win it was 1-2 (3.4%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | VfL Bochum |
72.84% ( 0.61) | 15.43% ( -0.04) | 11.73% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 59.12% ( -1.92) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.27% ( -1.44) | 28.73% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.35% ( -1.79) | 49.65% ( 1.78) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.16% ( -0.22) | 6.84% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.81% ( -0.59) | 25.19% ( 0.59) |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.46% ( -1.9) | 36.54% ( 1.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.67% ( -1.97) | 73.33% ( 1.96) |
| Score Analysis |
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 9.05% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 8.99% ( 0.54)3-1 @ 8.09% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.39)1-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.48)4-1 @ 5.43% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 5.39% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.23)5-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 2.89% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.19)5-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.12)6-1 @ 1.3% ( -0.05)6-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.11)Other @ 3.55% Total : 72.84% | 1-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.19)0-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.21)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.15)Other @ 0.26% Total : 15.43% | 1-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 2.52% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 1.53% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.1)Other @ 1.88% Total : 11.73% |
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