Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Botafogo win with a probability of 50.99%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 22.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Botafogo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.11%) and 2-1 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (8.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.02) 
