SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 45.32%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.87%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bournemouth | Draw | Newcastle United |
45.32% ( 0.03) | 22.88% ( 0) | 31.8% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 64.16% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.26% ( -0.03) | 36.74% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.09% ( -0.04) | 58.91% ( 0.03) |
| Bournemouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.31% ( -0) | 16.69% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.43% ( -0) | 46.57% ( 0) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.01% ( -0.03) | 22.99% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.21% ( -0.05) | 56.79% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bournemouth | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.87% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.4% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.78% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0)Other @ 4.39% Total : 45.32% | 1-1 @ 10.09% 2-2 @ 6.65% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.94% ( -0)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.87% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.15% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.26% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 3.13% Total : 31.8% |
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