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Primeira Liga | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Municipal de Braga
SL

Braga
1 - 1
Sporting Lisbon

Djalo (78')
Niakate (45+4'), Jorge (45+6'), Carvalho (83')
Jorge (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Goncalves (25')
Gyokeres (27'), Morita (33'), Amorim (40'), Inacio (90'), Goncalves (90'), Diomande (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Panathinaikos 0-1 Braga
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Braga 1-2 Sporting Lisbon

Braga and Sporting Lisbon have both put together a fine run of form to start the season and we anticipate an end-to-end affair at the Estadio Braga Municipal. Amorim's side have won each of their last three Primeira Liga away games and we fancy them snatching all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 37.52%. A win for Braga had a probability of 36.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-0 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
36.81% (0.463 0.46) 25.66% (0.088000000000001 0.09) 37.52% (-0.553 -0.55)
Both teams to score 55.4% (-0.29 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.32% (-0.381 -0.38)48.68% (0.38 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.2% (-0.349 -0.35)70.79% (0.346 0.35)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (0.084000000000003 0.08)25.76% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.29% (0.113 0.11)60.71% (-0.114 -0.11)
Sporting Lisbon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.63% (-0.47800000000001 -0.48)25.37% (0.477 0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.83% (-0.66099999999999 -0.66)60.16% (0.66 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Braga 36.81%
    Sporting Lisbon 37.52%
    Draw 25.66%
BragaDrawSporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 8.86% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 8.24% (0.055999999999999 0.06)
2-0 @ 6.01% (0.122 0.12)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.035 0.03)
3-0 @ 2.72% (0.062 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.015 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.92% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 36.81%
1-1 @ 12.15% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 6.54% (0.102 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.65% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.66%
0-1 @ 8.97% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 8.34% (-0.078999999999999 -0.08)
0-2 @ 6.15% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-3 @ 3.81% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 2.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.055 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.31% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 37.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Panathinaikos 0-1 Braga
Tuesday, August 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Braga 2-1 Panathinaikos
Wednesday, August 23 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Chaves 2-4 Braga
Saturday, August 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Backa Topola 1-4 Braga
Tuesday, August 15 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Famalicao
Friday, August 11 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 3-0 Backa Topola
Tuesday, August 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Famalicao
Sunday, August 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, August 18 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-2 Vizela
Saturday, August 12 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Sporting Lisbon
Saturday, August 5 at 3pm in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Vizela 1-2 Sporting Lisbon
Friday, May 26 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 2-2 Benfica
Sunday, May 21 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga


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