Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Cittadella had a probability of 30.76% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.91%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest Cittadella win was 0-1 (11.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
0.01) 
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