SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 41.87%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.82%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff City | Draw | Millwall |
30.78% ( 0.2) | 27.35% ( 0.02) | 41.87% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 48.71% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.37% ( -0.02) | 56.63% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.4% ( -0.02) | 77.6% ( 0.02) |
| Cardiff City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.43% ( 0.13) | 33.56% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.79% ( 0.15) | 70.21% ( -0.15) |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.32% ( -0.13) | 26.68% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.07% ( -0.17) | 61.93% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 30.78% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.95% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.34% | 0-1 @ 11.83% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.82% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.76% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.44% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.05% Total : 41.87% |
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