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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff MU win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Newtown AFC had a probability of 36.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff MU win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Newtown AFC win was 0-1 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff MU would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Newtown AFC |
37.79% ( -0.01) | 25.62% ( 0.01) | 36.58% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 55.54% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.49% ( -0.05) | 48.51% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.36% ( -0.05) | 70.63% ( 0.04) |
| Cardiff MU Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.86% ( -0.03) | 25.14% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.15% ( -0.04) | 59.85% ( 0.04) |
| Newtown AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.19% ( -0.03) | 25.81% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.23% ( -0.04) | 60.77% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cardiff MU | Draw | Newtown AFC |
| 1-0 @ 8.96% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.19% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.33% ( -0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0)Other @ 1.74% Total : 37.79% | 1-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.49% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.67% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.62% | 0-1 @ 8.79% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.71% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.69% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.56% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.5% Total : 36.58% |
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