SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 42.83%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.93%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
31.47% ( -0.19) | 25.7% ( 0.19) | 42.83% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.08% ( -0.7) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.14% ( -0.88) | 49.86% ( 0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.14% ( -0.79) | 71.86% ( 0.79) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.38% ( -0.56) | 29.62% ( 0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.34% ( -0.69) | 65.66% ( 0.7) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.84% ( -0.38) | 23.16% ( 0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% ( -0.56) | 57.03% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Harrogate Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.43% Total : 31.47% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 6.86% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 10.03% ( 0.24) 1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 4.36% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.07% Total : 42.82% |
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