SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cerro Largo win with a probability of 42.88%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 27.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cerro Largo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 2-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.21%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (10.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cerro Largo in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cerro Largo | Draw | River Plate |
42.88% ( 0.1) | 29.16% ( 0.24) | 27.96% ( -0.34) |
| Both teams to score 42.5% ( -0.79) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.21% ( -0.9) | 63.78% ( 0.89) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.97% ( -0.65) | 83.03% ( 0.64) |
| Cerro Largo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% ( -0.39) | 29.55% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.42% ( -0.47) | 65.57% ( 0.47) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.33% ( -0.79) | 39.66% ( 0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.65% ( -0.74) | 76.34% ( 0.74) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cerro Largo | Draw | River Plate |
| 1-0 @ 14.28% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 8.71% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.27% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.51% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.42% Total : 42.87% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.12)Other @ 0.5% Total : 29.15% | 0-1 @ 10.83% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 5.01% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.43% Total : 27.95% |
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