SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlotte FC win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlotte FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Charlotte FC in this match.
| Result | ||
| Charlotte FC | Draw | New York City FC |
40.65% ( 0.09) | 27.29% ( 0.06) | 32.06% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 49.34% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.95% ( -0.29) | 56.05% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% ( -0.24) | 77.13% ( 0.23) |
| Charlotte FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.93% ( -0.09) | 27.07% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.56% ( -0.11) | 62.44% ( 0.11) |
| New York City FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.65% ( -0.26) | 32.35% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.14% ( -0.29) | 68.86% ( 0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Charlotte FC | Draw | New York City FC |
| 1-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 40.64% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.29% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.58% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.06% |
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