SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chengdu Rongcheng win with a probability of 61.97%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Wuhan Three Towns had a probability of 17.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chengdu Rongcheng win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.49%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.92%), while for a Wuhan Three Towns win it was 0-1 (4.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
61.97% ( -0.64) | 20.97% ( 0.33) | 17.05% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 52.9% ( -0.47) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.54% ( -0.95) | 43.46% ( 0.94) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.14% ( -0.94) | 65.86% ( 0.93) |
| Chengdu Rongcheng Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.52% ( -0.49) | 13.48% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.51% ( -0.99) | 40.49% ( 0.98) |
| Wuhan Three Towns Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.14% ( -0.2) | 38.86% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.41% ( -0.19) | 75.59% ( 0.18) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chengdu Rongcheng | Draw | Wuhan Three Towns |
| 2-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 10.49% ( 0.24)2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.03% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 3.52% ( -0.11)4-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.07)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.07)Other @ 3.04% Total : 61.96% | 1-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.97% | 0-1 @ 4.95% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.12% Total : 17.05% |
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