SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 65.74%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 15.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 1-0 (7.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.24%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-2 (4.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Aldershot Town |
65.74% ( -0.06) | 18.41% ( 0.02) | 15.86% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.48% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.38% ( -0) | 33.62% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.56% ( -0) | 55.43% ( 0) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.43% ( -0.02) | 9.57% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.96% ( -0.04) | 32.03% ( 0.04) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.78% ( 0.05) | 34.22% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.08% ( 0.05) | 70.92% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 7.69% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0)3-0 @ 7.05% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 4.14% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.05% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.38% ( 0)5-1 @ 2.08% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.12% Other @ 4.61% Total : 65.74% | 1-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.28% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.45% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 18.41% | 1-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.51% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 15.86% |
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