New York City have not been nearly as creative going forward away from home this season, and we expect a cagey affair with two teams that may have difficulty finding enough attacking solutions to win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chicago Fire win with a probability of 44.35%. A win for New York City FC had a probability of 30.37% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chicago Fire win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.5%). The likeliest New York City FC win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
0.01) 
-0.01) 
