SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Colchester United |
41.2% ( 0.38) | 26.91% ( 0.22) | 31.88% ( -0.61) |
| Both teams to score 50.42% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.35% ( -1.03) | 54.65% ( 1.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.02% ( -0.86) | 75.98% ( 0.85) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.88% ( -0.27) | 26.12% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.82% ( -0.36) | 61.18% ( 0.35) |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( -0.94) | 31.76% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.82% ( -1.08) | 68.18% ( 1.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Colchester United |
| 1-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 3.84% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.2% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.22% Total : 41.2% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.29% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.93% Total : 26.91% | 0-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 7.33% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.88% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
