SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crystal Palace win with a probability of 45.08%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crystal Palace win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crystal Palace would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Newcastle United |
45.08% ( 0.24) | 23.91% ( -0.01) | 31% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 59.98% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.94% ( -0.04) | 42.06% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.54% ( -0.04) | 64.46% ( 0.04) |
| Crystal Palace Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.11% ( 0.08) | 18.88% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.64% ( 0.14) | 50.36% ( -0.14) |
| Newcastle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.94% ( -0.16) | 26.06% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.9% ( -0.21) | 61.1% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crystal Palace | Draw | Newcastle United |
| 2-1 @ 9.19% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 45.08% | 1-1 @ 11.03% 2-2 @ 6.18% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.38% Total : 31% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
