SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ecuador win with a probability of 60.5%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Paraguay had a probability of 14.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ecuador win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.65%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Paraguay win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-0 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Ecuador | Draw | Paraguay |
60.5% ( 0.68) | 24.81% ( -0.38) | 14.68% ( -0.3) |
| Both teams to score 37.43% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.39% ( 0.73) | 61.61% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.55% ( 0.53) | 81.45% ( -0.53) |
| Ecuador Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.59% ( 0.56) | 20.41% ( -0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.16% ( 0.89) | 52.84% ( -0.89) |
| Paraguay Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.02% ( -0) | 52.98% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.37% ( -0) | 86.63% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ecuador | Draw | Paraguay |
| 1-0 @ 17.18% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 13.65% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.67% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 4.6% ( 0.11)4-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 1.83% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.46% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.1% Total : 60.5% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 10.81% ( -0.29)2-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.33% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.16% Total : 14.68% |
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