SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 75.8%. A draw had a probability of 15.8% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.34%) and 0-3 (10.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.49%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (3.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sporting Lisbon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
8.44% ( -0.06) | 15.76% ( -0.16) | 75.8% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 43.86% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.69% ( 0.55) | 41.31% ( -0.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.29% ( 0.55) | 63.71% ( -0.55) |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.31% ( 0.23) | 51.69% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.2% ( 0.15) | 85.8% ( -0.15) |
| Sporting Lisbon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.8% ( 0.19) | 9.2% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.84% ( 0.45) | 31.16% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| Estoril Praia | Draw | Sporting Lisbon |
| 1-0 @ 3.14% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.79% Total : 8.44% | 1-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.12)2-2 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.57% Total : 15.76% | 0-2 @ 13.53% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 10.76% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.1% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 6.42% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 4.24% ( 0.07)0-5 @ 3.06% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 2.02% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.4% ( 0.03)0-6 @ 1.22% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.41% Total : 75.78% |
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