SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 46.3%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 29.91% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.33%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Twente in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
46.3% ( -0.42) | 23.79% ( 0.3) | 29.91% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 59.77% ( -0.98) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.94% ( -1.33) | 42.06% ( 1.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.53% ( -1.35) | 64.46% ( 1.34) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.61% ( -0.69) | 18.38% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.47% ( -1.17) | 49.52% ( 1.17) |
| AZ Alkmaar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.23% ( -0.59) | 26.76% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.96% ( -0.78) | 62.04% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.33% ( 0.31)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.11)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.12)3-0 @ 3.98% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.14)4-1 @ 2.22% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.09)Other @ 3.54% Total : 46.3% | 1-1 @ 10.98% ( 0.23) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.29)3-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.78% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.27)0-2 @ 4.28% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 1.88% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.91% |
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