Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 36.96%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 36.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 1-0 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
-0.04) 
0.04) 
