SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fortaleza win with a probability of 47.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 24.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fortaleza win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.63%) and 2-1 (8.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for an Atletico Mineiro win it was 0-1 (9.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fortaleza | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
47.89% ( 1.29) | 27.33% ( -0) | 24.78% ( -1.28) |
| Both teams to score 45.01% ( -1.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.5% ( -0.78) | 59.49% ( 0.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.15% ( -0.6) | 79.85% ( 0.6) |
| Fortaleza Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( 0.27) | 24.94% ( -0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.42% ( 0.38) | 59.58% ( -0.38) |
| Atletico Mineiro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.97% ( -1.58) | 40.03% ( 1.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.32% ( -1.48) | 76.68% ( 1.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Fortaleza | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
| 1-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.51) 2-0 @ 9.63% ( 0.42)2-1 @ 8.81% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0.09)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.22% Total : 47.89% | 1-1 @ 12.69% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.98% ( 0.29)2-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.62% Total : 27.33% | 0-1 @ 9.14% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 4.19% ( -0.24)1-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.17)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.11)Other @ 1.36% Total : 24.78% |
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