SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Moreirense win with a probability of 39.56%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Moreirense win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.92%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 1-0 (9.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Moreirense |
33.92% ( 0.06) | 26.52% ( 0.05) | 39.56% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.38% ( -0.19) | 52.61% ( 0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.73% ( -0.16) | 74.26% ( 0.16) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( -0.06) | 29.38% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.63% ( -0.07) | 65.37% ( 0.07) |
| Moreirense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.93% ( -0.14) | 26.06% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.89% ( -0.19) | 61.11% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Moreirense |
| 1-0 @ 9.38% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.12% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.66% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.19% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 10.29% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.92% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.8% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.04% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 39.55% |
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