SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 38.52%. A win for Vitoria de Guimaraes had a probability of 36.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.26%). The likeliest Vitoria de Guimaraes win was 0-1 (8.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gil Vicente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
38.52% ( -0.02) | 25.45% ( 0) | 36.04% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.11% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% ( -0.01) | 47.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% ( -0.01) | 69.95% ( 0.01) |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.59% ( -0.01) | 24.41% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.17% ( -0.02) | 58.83% ( 0.02) |
| Vitoria de Guimaraes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.23% ( 0) | 25.77% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.28% ( 0) | 60.72% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Vitoria de Guimaraes |
| 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.26% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 38.52% | 1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.44% | 0-1 @ 8.53% ( 0) 1-2 @ 8.15% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.78% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.69% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.25% Other @ 3.42% Total : 36.04% |
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