SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 43.44%. A win for Girona had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.77%) and 0-2 (6.42%). The likeliest Girona win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Barcelona |
32.71% ( 0.53) | 23.85% ( 0.03) | 43.44% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 60.98% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.92% ( 0.05) | 41.07% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.53% ( 0.05) | 63.47% ( -0.05) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.45% ( 0.34) | 24.54% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.98% ( 0.47) | 59.02% ( -0.47) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.82% ( -0.22) | 19.18% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.15% ( -0.36) | 50.85% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.64% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.75% Total : 32.71% | 1-1 @ 10.91% 2-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.71% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 6.42% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 3.53% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.05% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.46% ( -0.04)2-4 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 43.44% |
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