SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 29.94% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.52%). The likeliest Harrogate Town win was 1-0 (7.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Morecambe |
29.94% ( 0.01) | 24.98% ( -0.08) | 45.09% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 55.72% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.61% ( 0.35) | 47.39% ( -0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.39% ( 0.32) | 69.61% ( -0.32) |
| Harrogate Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( 0.19) | 29.42% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.58% ( 0.23) | 65.42% ( -0.23) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.95% ( 0.17) | 21.06% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.14% ( 0.27) | 53.86% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Harrogate Town | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.95% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 1.89% ( 0)4-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.46% Total : 29.94% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 9.2% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 7.52% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.78% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.91% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.86% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.14% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.6% Total : 45.09% |
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