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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 45.04%. A win for Haverfordwest County had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.12%) and 0-2 (7.89%). The likeliest Haverfordwest County win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
29.31% ( 0.01) | 25.64% ( 0.03) | 45.04% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 53.2% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.49% ( -0.11) | 50.51% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.56% ( -0.1) | 72.43% ( 0.1) |
| Haverfordwest County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.54% ( -0.05) | 31.46% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.16% ( -0.06) | 67.84% ( 0.06) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.62% ( -0.06) | 22.38% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.11% ( -0.09) | 55.89% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haverfordwest County | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 7.05% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.72% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.82% Other @ 2.85% Total : 29.31% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.64% | 0-1 @ 10.54% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.12% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 7.89% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 3.94% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.47% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 45.04% |
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