If recent encounters are anything to go by, we are in for an entertaining affair here, and we expect the game to pan out that way. That said, we are also backing AZ to come out on top in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 27.69% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Heerenveen	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
48.69% ( -0.28)	23.62% ( 0.26)	27.69% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 58.75% (

-0.88)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.3% (

-1.17)

42.7% (

1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.89% (

-1.18)

65.1% (

1.18)

Heerenveen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.3% (

-0.55)

17.7% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.66% (

-0.97)

48.34% (

0.97)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.38% (

-0.58)

28.62% (

0.59)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.58% (

-0.74)

64.42% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

Heerenveen 48.69%

AZ Alkmaar 27.69%

Draw 23.62%

Heerenveen	Draw	AZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.77% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.38% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.12) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.77% Total : 48.69%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.26) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.62%	1-2 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 3.96% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.48% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.53% Total : 27.69%