SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 44.36%. A win for Haka had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.09%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ilves | Draw | Haka |
44.36% ( 2.44) | 24.57% ( 0.03) | 31.06% ( -2.47) |
| Both teams to score 57.68% ( -1.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.91% ( -0.99) | 45.09% ( 0.99) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.56% ( -0.96) | 67.43% ( 0.96) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.57% ( 0.69) | 20.42% ( -0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.13% ( 1.08) | 52.87% ( -1.08) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.48% ( -2.02) | 27.52% ( 2.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.97% ( -2.67) | 63.02% ( 2.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ilves | Draw | Haka |
| 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.25) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( 0.55)2-0 @ 7.09% ( 0.58)3-1 @ 4.84% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.38)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.49% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.24% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.82% Total : 44.36% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.18)0-0 @ 5.62% ( 0.24)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.09)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.56% | 1-2 @ 7.43% ( -0.39) 0-1 @ 7.25% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.35)1-3 @ 3.2% ( -0.36)2-3 @ 2.54% ( -0.23)0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.28)1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.19)Other @ 2.92% Total : 31.06% |
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