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Major League Soccer
May 30, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Inter Miami CF Stadium
AU

Inter Miami
1 - 3
Atlanta

Messi (62')
Aviles (57')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lobzhanidze (44', 59'), Thiare (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Inter Miami 2-0 Atlanta United

Over the weekend, the Herons made a statement that they are capable of winning and being a quality side, even without their three best players. The Five Stripes' frustrations are boiling over, and their top players are not 100%, so we project their winless MLS run will reach double-digits. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Miami win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Atlanta United had a probability of 26.6% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Miami win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.73%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Atlanta United win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Inter MiamiDrawAtlanta United
50.94% (-2.84 -2.84) 22.46% (0.975 0.98) 26.6% (1.872 1.87)
Both teams to score 61.92% (-1.58 -1.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.9% (-2.924 -2.92)38.1% (2.93 2.93)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.64% (-3.185 -3.19)60.37% (3.191 3.19)
Inter Miami Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.83% (-1.933 -1.93)15.17% (1.939 1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.21% (-3.779 -3.78)43.79% (3.786 3.79)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (-0.191 -0.19)27% (0.198 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (-0.253 -0.25)62.35% (0.26 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Inter Miami 50.94%
    Atlanta United 26.6%
    Draw 22.46%
Inter MiamiDrawAtlanta United
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-0 @ 7.73% (0.551 0.55)
2-0 @ 7.28% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.444 -0.44)
3-0 @ 4.58% (-0.312 -0.31)
3-2 @ 3.92% (-0.315 -0.32)
4-1 @ 2.83% (-0.429 -0.43)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.314 -0.31)
4-2 @ 1.85% (-0.293 -0.29)
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.251 -0.25)
Other @ 4%
Total : 50.94%
1-1 @ 10.11% (0.665 0.66)
2-2 @ 6.24% (-0.045 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.55 0.55)
3-3 @ 1.71% (-0.147 -0.15)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.46%
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.404 0.4)
0-1 @ 5.36% (0.693 0.69)
0-2 @ 3.51% (0.437 0.44)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.161 0.16)
2-3 @ 2.73% (-0.035 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.184 0.18)
1-4 @ 0.95% (0.048 0.05)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 26.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Vancouver 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, May 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 1-0 DC United
Sunday, May 19 at 1.05am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 0-0 Inter Miami
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 2-3 Inter Miami
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Inter Miami 6-2 NY Red Bulls
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-4 Inter Miami
Sunday, April 28 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 0-1 Los Angeles
Sunday, May 26 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-1 Atlanta
Saturday, May 18 at 6.45pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Cincinnati 1-0 Atlanta
Thursday, May 16 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 2-3 DC United
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Atlanta 1-2 Minnesota Utd
Sunday, May 5 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Chicago Fire 0-0 Atlanta
Sunday, April 28 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer


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