SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 68.44%. A draw had a probability of 17.6% and a win for Kalmar had a probability of 13.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.55%) and 0-1 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.95%), while for a Kalmar win it was 2-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kalmar | Draw | Malmo |
13.99% ( -0.06) | 17.57% ( -0.04) | 68.44% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.68% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.33% ( 0.05) | 33.67% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.51% ( 0.05) | 55.49% ( -0.06) |
| Kalmar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.36% ( -0.04) | 36.64% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.57% ( -0.04) | 73.43% ( 0.04) |
| Malmo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.03% ( 0.03) | 8.96% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.41% ( 0.08) | 30.58% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kalmar | Draw | Malmo |
| 2-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.3% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 1.66% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 13.99% | 1-1 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 3.28% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.57% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.55% ( 0.01)0-1 @ 7.92% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 7.71% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.68% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 4.65% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 4.63% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.87% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.33% ( 0)1-5 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 2.23% ( 0.01)2-5 @ 1.13% ( 0)1-6 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.99% Total : 68.44% |
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