Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 47.86%. A draw had a probability of 27% and a win for Alfreton Town had a probability of 25.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (8.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for an Alfreton Town win it was 0-1 (8.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
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