Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 46.39%. A win for Aberdeen had a probability of 28.79% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Aberdeen win was 0-1 (7.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
Result | ||
Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
46.39% (![]() | 24.82% (![]() | 28.79% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.52% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.67% (![]() | 47.33% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.45% (![]() | 69.55% (![]() |
Kilmarnock Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.54% (![]() | 20.46% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.07% (![]() | 52.93% (![]() |
Aberdeen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.8% (![]() | 30.2% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.64% (![]() | 66.36% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Kilmarnock | Draw | Aberdeen |
1-0 @ 9.8% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.31% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.78% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.93% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.11% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.95% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.95% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.63% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.17% ( ![]() Other @ 2.75% Total : 46.39% | 1-1 @ 11.73% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.18% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 7.4% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.03% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.43% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.81% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.23% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.77% ( ![]() Other @ 3.14% Total : 28.79% |
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