SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles Galaxy win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles Galaxy win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.23%) and 2-0 (5.49%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 (7.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.84%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles Galaxy would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
42.45% ( 0.09) | 22.76% ( -0.02) | 34.78% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 65.78% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.91% ( 0.06) | 35.09% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.91% ( 0.07) | 57.09% ( -0.07) |
| Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.85% ( 0.06) | 17.15% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.61% ( 0.11) | 47.39% ( -0.11) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.4% ( -0.01) | 20.6% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.85% ( -0.02) | 53.15% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles Galaxy | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 2-1 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 6.23% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.49% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.25% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 42.45% | 1-1 @ 9.84% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.85% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.53% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 2.12% ( 0)Other @ 0.41% Total : 22.76% | 1-2 @ 7.77% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.61% 0-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 3.04% Total : 34.78% |
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