Having won seven of their last 11 league games at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy, Lille look set to secure another home victory over Lorient, who have failed to win any of their previous five matches on the road.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 73.33%. A draw had a probability of 16.5% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 10.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.35%) and 3-0 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Lorient win it was 0-1 (3.31%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Lille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lille.
