SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 48.45%. A win for Lugano had a probability of 28.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Lugano win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lugano | Draw | Besiktas |
28.2% ( 3.61) | 23.34% ( 0.99) | 48.45% ( -4.61) |
| Both teams to score 60.15% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.96% ( -1.57) | 41.03% ( 1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.57% ( -1.61) | 63.43% ( 1.61) |
| Lugano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% ( 1.85) | 27.39% ( -1.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.13% ( 2.33) | 62.86% ( -2.34) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( -2.21) | 17.15% ( 2.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.6% ( -4.03) | 47.39% ( 4.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lugano | Draw | Besiktas |
| 2-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.67) 1-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.71)2-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.63)3-1 @ 3% ( 0.42)3-2 @ 2.64% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.35)4-1 @ 0.97% ( 0.18)Other @ 2.93% Total : 28.2% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( 0.16)0-0 @ 4.7% ( 0.33)3-3 @ 1.55% ( 0)Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.34% | 1-2 @ 9.46% ( -0.25) 0-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.59)1-3 @ 5.56% ( -0.59)0-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.71)2-3 @ 3.6% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 2.45% ( -0.47)0-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.49)2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.21)Other @ 4.03% Total : 48.45% |
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