SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 29.81% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.76%) and 2-0 (6.34%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
47.8% ( 0.16) | 22.4% ( -0.05) | 29.81% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 64.78% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.56% ( 0.21) | 35.44% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.52% ( 0.24) | 57.48% ( -0.23) |
| Lyon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.72% ( 0.14) | 15.29% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56% ( 0.26) | 44% ( -0.25) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.47% ( 0.04) | 23.53% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.43% ( 0.06) | 57.57% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lyon | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% 1-0 @ 6.76% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.95% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)4-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 47.8% | 1-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.64% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.38% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 7.07% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.41% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.23% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 29.81% |
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