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Australian A-League | Gameweek 17
Feb 18, 2024 at 7.01am UK
Campbelltown Stadium (Sydney)
WP

Macarthur
1 - 2
Wellington

Oliveira (78')
Lewis (22'), M'Mombwa (75')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barbarouses (31' pen., 73')
Ball (24'), van Hattum (42'), Hughes (54'), Salas (90+4'), Zawada (90+4')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Macarthur and Wellington Phoenix.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Victory 0-1 Macarthur
Saturday, February 10 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 2-0 Western Utd
Saturday, February 10 at 4.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
MacarthurDrawWellington Phoenix
50.76% (-1.356 -1.36) 20.91% (-0.117 -0.12) 28.34% (1.476 1.48)
Both teams to score 69.36% (1.801 1.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.97% (1.802 1.8)29.03% (-1.8 -1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.99% (2.175 2.18)50.01% (-2.173 -2.17)
Macarthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.97% (0.23099999999999 0.23)12.02% (-0.229 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.5% (0.484 0.48)37.49% (-0.483 -0.48)
Wellington Phoenix Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.84% (1.848 1.85)21.15% (-1.846 -1.85)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.99% (2.792 2.79)54.01% (-2.79 -2.79)
Score Analysis
    Macarthur 50.76%
    Wellington Phoenix 28.34%
    Draw 20.91%
MacarthurDrawWellington Phoenix
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.263 -0.26)
3-1 @ 6.26% (-0.128 -0.13)
2-0 @ 5.71% (-0.504 -0.5)
1-0 @ 5.39% (-0.529 -0.53)
3-2 @ 4.86% (0.167 0.17)
3-0 @ 4.03% (-0.317 -0.32)
4-1 @ 3.31% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.58% (0.111 0.11)
4-0 @ 2.13% (-0.147 -0.15)
5-1 @ 1.4% (-0.004 -0)
4-3 @ 1.33% (0.126 0.13)
5-2 @ 1.09% (0.057 0.06)
5-0 @ 0.9% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 50.76%
1-1 @ 8.37% (-0.326 -0.33)
2-2 @ 6.89% (0.178 0.18)
0-0 @ 2.54% (-0.275 -0.28)
3-3 @ 2.52% (0.217 0.22)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 20.91%
1-2 @ 6.5% (0.11 0.11)
0-1 @ 3.95% (-0.191 -0.19)
2-3 @ 3.57% (0.279 0.28)
1-3 @ 3.37% (0.236 0.24)
0-2 @ 3.07% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.59% (0.098 0.1)
2-4 @ 1.39% (0.178 0.18)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.157 0.16)
3-4 @ 0.98% (0.133 0.13)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 28.34%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Macarthur
Saturday, February 10 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 4-3 Western Sydney
Sunday, February 4 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 2-2 Perth Glory
Sunday, January 28 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-3 Macarthur
Thursday, January 18 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Macarthur 3-3 Western Utd
Friday, January 12 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-1 Macarthur
Monday, January 8 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 2-0 Western Utd
Saturday, February 10 at 4.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 0-0 Central Coast
Tuesday, February 6 at 3am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Wellington
Friday, February 2 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-2 Wellington
Saturday, January 27 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Wellington 1-1 Victory
Friday, January 19 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 3-4 Wellington
Sunday, January 14 at 8.45am in Australian A-League


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