Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Macarthur win with a probability of 50.76%. A win for Wellington Phoenix had a probability of 28.34% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Macarthur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.26%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
50.76% ( -1.36) | 20.91% ( -0.12) | 28.34% ( 1.48) |
Both teams to score 69.36% ( 1.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
70.97% ( 1.8) | 29.03% ( -1.8) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
49.99% ( 2.18) | 50.01% ( -2.17) |
Macarthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.97% ( 0.23) | 12.02% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.5% ( 0.48) | 37.49% ( -0.48) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.84% ( 1.85) | 21.15% ( -1.85) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.99% ( 2.79) | 54.01% ( -2.79) |
Score Analysis |
Macarthur | Draw | Wellington Phoenix |
2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.26) 3-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.5) 1-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.53) 3-2 @ 4.86% ( 0.17) 3-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.32) 4-1 @ 3.31% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 2.58% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.15) 5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.13) 5-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 0.9% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.89% Total : 50.76% | 1-1 @ 8.37% ( -0.33) 2-2 @ 6.89% ( 0.18) 0-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.28) 3-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.22) Other @ 0.59% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 6.5% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.18) 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 0.16) 3-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.13) Other @ 2.63% Total : 28.34% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: