SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.53%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 13.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.47%) and 1-3 (7.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.14%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 2-1 (3.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
13.87% ( 0.63) | 16.59% ( 0.24) | 69.53% ( -0.87) |
| Both teams to score 61.38% ( 0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71.04% ( 0.38) | 28.95% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.08% ( 0.47) | 49.92% ( -0.47) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.38% ( 1.12) | 33.62% ( -1.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.73% ( 1.2) | 70.26% ( -1.21) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.46% ( -0.08) | 7.53% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.99% ( -0.2) | 27.01% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 3.89% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.41% ( 0.09)Other @ 2.48% Total : 13.87% | 1-1 @ 7.14% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 2.53% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.09)Other @ 0.31% Total : 16.59% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 7.96% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 7.3% ( -0.26)0-1 @ 6.55% ( -0.18)1-4 @ 5.14% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 4.72% ( -0.19)2-3 @ 4.34% ( 0.11)2-4 @ 2.8% ( 0.06)1-5 @ 2.66% ( -0.03)0-5 @ 2.44% ( -0.11)2-5 @ 1.45% ( 0.03)1-6 @ 1.15% ( -0.02)0-6 @ 1.05% ( -0.05)3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.27% Total : 69.53% |
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