Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne City win with a probability of 58.57%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 22.38% and a draw had a probability of 19.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.11%) and 2-0 (6.08%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (5.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Melbourne City would win this match.
Result | ||
Melbourne City | Draw | Adelaide United |
58.57% ( 0.27) | 19.06% ( -0.02) | 22.38% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 69.78% ( -0.28) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.12% ( -0.21) | 25.88% ( 0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.94% ( -0.27) | 46.07% ( 0.27) |
Melbourne City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.99% ( -0) | 9.01% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.31% ( -0.01) | 30.7% ( 0.01) |
Adelaide United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.69% ( -0.31) | 23.31% ( 0.31) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.74% ( -0.45) | 57.26% ( 0.45) |
Score Analysis |
Melbourne City | Draw | Adelaide United |
2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 5.18% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.94% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.59% Total : 58.57% | 1-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.45% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 2.1% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.64% Total : 19.06% | 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.92% Total : 22.38% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups: