SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a CF Montreal win with a probability of 45.36%. A win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 30.66% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a CF Montreal win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Chicago Fire win was 1-2 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that CF Montreal would win this match.
| Result | ||
| CF Montreal | Draw | Chicago Fire |
45.36% ( 0.98) | 23.98% ( 0.33) | 30.66% ( -1.3) |
| Both teams to score 59.55% ( -1.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( -2.15) | 42.54% ( 2.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.06% ( -2.19) | 64.94% ( 2.19) |
| CF Montreal Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.04% ( -0.46) | 18.96% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.51% ( -0.77) | 50.49% ( 0.78) |
| Chicago Fire Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.49% ( -1.86) | 26.51% ( 1.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.29% ( -2.54) | 61.71% ( 2.55) |
| Score Analysis |
| CF Montreal | Draw | Chicago Fire |
| 2-1 @ 9.23% ( 0.14) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( 0.67)2-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.46)3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.2)3-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.19)4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.6% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.33% Total : 45.36% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.32) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.24)0-0 @ 5.03% ( 0.47)3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.97% | 1-2 @ 7.37% ( -0.18) 0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.26)2-3 @ 2.71% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.13)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.15)Other @ 3.18% Total : 30.66% |
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