The Pigeons should have gained massive confidence from their Leagues Cup performances, while the Fire still seem to be searching for their true identity, so we expect a comfortable victory for the Boys in Blue this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
New York City FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
62.68% ( 0.01)	19.64%	17.68% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 58.97% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.87% (

-0.02)

36.13% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.76% (

-0.01)

58.23% (

0.01)

New York City FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.96% (

-0)

11.04% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.63% (

-0.01)

35.37% (

Chicago Fire Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.29% (

-0.02)

33.71% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.63% (

-0.02)

70.37% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

New York City FC 62.68%

Chicago Fire 17.68%

Draw 19.64%

New York City FC	Draw	Chicago Fire
2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.2% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 7.22% 3-0 @ 6.64% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 3.92% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.66% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.75% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.61% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.73% Total : 62.68%	1-1 @ 8.92% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.72% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.64%	1-2 @ 4.85% ( -0) 0-1 @ 4.05% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.2% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 17.68%