Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York City FC win with a probability of 62.68%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.68%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York City FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.04%) and 1-0 (8.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.92%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
New York City FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
62.68% (![]() | 19.64% | 17.68% (![]() |
Both teams to score 58.97% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.87% (![]() | 36.13% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.76% (![]() | 58.23% (![]() |
New York City FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.96% (![]() | 11.04% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.63% (![]() | 35.37% (![]() |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.29% (![]() | 33.71% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.63% (![]() | 70.37% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
New York City FC | Draw | Chicago Fire |
2-1 @ 9.83% (![]() 2-0 @ 9.04% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 8.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.22% 3-0 @ 6.64% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 3.92% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.66% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.16% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.75% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.61% 5-2 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.73% Total : 62.68% | 1-1 @ 8.92% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.34% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.72% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 0.23% Total : 19.64% | 1-2 @ 4.85% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.05% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.2% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.76% ( ![]() Other @ 2.89% Total : 17.68% |
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