Braga are likely to suffer without their two key attacking outlets in Horta and Ruiz and may struggle against a Moreirense side who have not given up many goals so far this season.
The hosts still have a full complement of players and will fancy their chances of getting a result against a notably weakened Braga side.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 54.78%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 21.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.
-0.25) 
0.6) 
