SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 39.84%. A win for Barcelona had a probability of 36.24% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.27%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Barcelona win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Napoli | Draw | Barcelona |
39.84% ( 0.18) | 23.92% ( -0.01) | 36.24% ( -0.17) |
| Both teams to score 61.68% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.45% ( 0.03) | 40.55% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.07% ( 0.03) | 62.93% ( -0.03) |
| Napoli Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.43% ( 0.1) | 20.57% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.91% ( 0.16) | 53.09% ( -0.15) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.65% ( -0.07) | 22.35% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.17% ( -0.11) | 55.83% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Napoli | Draw | Barcelona |
| 2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.91% Total : 39.84% | 1-1 @ 10.89% 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.92% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.22% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.45% Total : 36.24% |
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